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☆ Surging oil prices may challenge the Federal Reserve's inflation fight
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-06 | by ( Spencer Kimball | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Mounting geopolitical tensions stemming from conflict in the Middle East and Eastern Europe have helped drive oil prices to five month highs, challenging the Federal Reserve's fight against inflation. U.S. crude oil gained 4.5% this week, touching $87 a barrel on Friday before settling at $86.91. Rising energy prices may affect the timing or magnitude of interest rate cuts, he said. The Federal Reserve is focused on bringing down core inflation, which excludes volatile energy and food prices. Escalating attacks are coming against a backdrop of an already tightening global crude market.

Persons: Brent, Bart Melek, Andy Lipow, Lipow, Bob Yawger, Yawger, Netanyahu, Manish Raj, White, Biden, John Kilduff, Kilduff, Melek, Saudi Arabia doesn't Organizations: Federal, American Automobile Association, West Texas, TD Securities, Lipow Oil Associates, Mizuho Americas, Valero, Philips, Marathon Petroleum, Velandera Energy Partners, Kyiv, JPMorgan, Financial Times, Again Capital, Bank of America, Saudi Locations: East, Eastern Europe, Iran, Israel, Ukraine, Damascus, Kyiv, Ukrainian, Russia, Saudi Arabia

☆ Crude oil showing signs of a breakout as it tops $80. What traders say happens next
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-17 | by ( Spencer Kimball | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

U.S. crude oil futures might be showing signs of a break out after topping $80 this week, though some analysts caution against reading too much into the move. The move higher came after the International Energy Agency forecast a crude supply deficit this year and Ukraine attacked several oil refineries in Russia. U.S. crude performed the same pattern this week, wiping out and closing above last week's intraday high of $80.67. U.S. crude has also held above its 200-day moving average of $78.13 a barrel almost all month, he said. As the market enters a supply deficit this year, Riyadh could start rolling barrels back on the market, Melek said.

Persons: Matt Maley, Miller, Tom Fitzpatrick, R.J, O'Brien, WTI, Brent, Fitzpatrick, Maley, Malley, Bart Melek, Melek, We're, Carter Worth, It's, it's, Worth Organizations: West Texas Intermediate, International Energy Agency, SPDR, Energy, TD Securities, U.S, Worth Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Saudi, Riyadh, U.S, United States

☆ Gold rises above $2,100 to highest level ever as traders bet on interest rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-04 | by ( Spencer Kimball | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold futures settled at the highest level ever on Monday as traders bet the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates in the second half of the year. When adjusted for inflation, gold set an all-time high of about $3,200 in 1980, according to Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer at Bleakley Financial Group. Gold has has performed well despite high interest rates and a strong dollar, he said. Gold now has upside on the expectation that the Fed will start cutting interest rates this year as inflation comes down, hesaid. Traders are betting the Fed will cut rates in June, according to the CME Fed Watch Tool.

Persons: It's, Peter Boockvar, Boockvar, Gold, Bart Melek, Melek Organizations: Federal Reserve, Miners, Bleakley Financial, TD Securities, Fed, Traders, CME Locations: U.S, Ukraine, China, Saudi Arabia

☆ Gold loses footing as focus turns to Fed minutes
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold bars of different sizes lie in a safe on a table at the precious metals dealer Pro Aurum. Gold prices declined on Monday weighed down by an uptick in U.S. Treasury yields, with investors awaiting minutes of the Federal Reserve's last meeting for cues on the central bank's interest rate path. Spot gold was down 0.1% to $1,978.23 per ounce, recouping the day's earlier losses. Spot gold rose as high as $1,993.29 on Friday. Lower interest rates exert downward pressure on the dollar and bond yields, enhancing the appeal of non-yielding bullion.

Persons: Bart Melek Organizations: Aurum, Treasury, TD Securities, Fed, U.S, Kitco Metals, Holdings, SPDR, Trust Locations: U.S

☆ Oil rally very much driven by fall in crude inventories, says TD Securities
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOil rally very much driven by fall in crude inventories, says TD SecuritiesBart Melek, managing director and global head of commodity strategy at TD Securities, says the surge in oil prices has been "very much" driven by the fall in crude stocks at the key Cushing storage hub in Oklahoma.

Persons: Securities Bart Melek, Cushing Organizations: Email, Securities, TD Securities Locations: Oklahoma

☆ Oil prices surge to highest level in more than a year
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-28 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Andrey Rudakov | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesOil prices surged to their highest level in over a year during Asian trading hours, after crude stocks at a key storage hub fell to their lowest since July last year. The U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures touched $95.03 per barrel during Asia trading hours, marking the highest since August 2022. He forecasts that oil prices will continue to remain at "high level" for the rest of the year, with an upside risk if global oil cartel OPEC+ continues to keep supplies tight. In September, OPEC+ kingpin Saudi Arabia extended its 1 million barrel per day voluntary crude oil production cut until the end of the year. The refinery crude throughput refers to the volume of crude oil a refinery can produce during a given period of time.

Persons: Andrey Rudakov, Cushing, Bart Melek, Melek, Malek Organizations: Tuapsinsky, Rosneft Oil, Bloomberg, Getty, U.S . Energy Information Administration, U.S . West Texas, Brent, bbl, TD Securities, CNBC, OPEC, Securities Locations: Tuapse, Russia, Cushing , Oklahoma, U.S, Asia, Saudi Arabia

☆ Oil price could go above $90 per barrel, but won't hit triple digits this year: Strategist
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOil price could go above $90 per barrel, but won't hit triple digits this year: StrategistBart Melek of TD Securities says slowdown in China’s economy and incremental supply increase by non-OPEC+ members in the second half this year will put a cap on how high oil prices could go.

Persons: Bart Melek Organizations: Email, TD Securities Locations: OPEC

☆ Gold prices to breach all-time highs? Some expect bullion to hit $2,500
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-11 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Spot gold prices hit a record intraday high of $2,072.5 on Aug. 7, 2020, according to data from Refinitiv. We also see a return of physical gold jewelry demand from China and India as both economies stabilize and retail spending returns. Gold prices tend to have an inverse relationship with interest rates. "We also see a return of physical gold jewelry demand from China and India as both economies stabilize and retail spending returns," Heng said. Chinese retail gold demand has been resilient in 2023 even as consumption of other commodities remained weak, Citi said in a July report.

Persons: Sven Hoppe, Bart Melek, Melek, David Neuhauser, Neuhauser, Randy Smallwood, Heng, Heng Koon, UOB Heng, Citi's, Doshi Organizations: Getty, Refinitiv, CNBC, Securities, U.S . Federal, Livermore Partners, Fed, Wheaton Precious Metals, greenback, Markets, Federal Reserve, Citi, Commodities, Future Publishing Locations: U.S, China, India, Yichang, Hubei province

SP Angel analyst John Meyer said that with global EV sales expected to reach around 15 million vehicles this year, sales of palladium, chiefly used to neutralise harmful car emissions, could be impaired by 1.5 million-2.25 million ounces. While there are still few battery-powered vehicles in the heavy-duty market, exhaust-free electric vehicles are eating into the palladium-focused light vehicle market, Johnson Matthey said. Palladium prices could fall to the $1,250 level, Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA, said. "The reason why people are more pessimistic about palladium than platinum is due to adoption of EVs," he said. "There's a lack of interest in the palladium market.

Persons: John Meyer, Johnson, Wilma Swarts, PGMs, Johnson Matthey, Edward Moya, palladium's bearishness, Tai Wong, Bart Melek, Ashitha, Seher Dareen, Arundhati Sarkar, Brijesh Patel, Arpan Varghese, Jan Harvey Organizations: Palladium, SP, Metals, TD Securities, Thomson Locations: Ukraine, New York, China, Bengaluru

☆ We expect China's oil demand to increase in the second half of the year, strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe expect China's oil demand to increase in the second half of the year, strategist saysBart Melek of TD Securities says it could rise by up to 1.4 million barrels per day.

Summary After initial quiet, opposition criticism growsComplaints of slow response, lack of suppliesErdogan visits scene, acknowledges early problemsISTANBUL, Feb 8 (Reuters) - Criticism of Turkey's earthquake response mounted on Wednesday, with the political opposition and people in the disaster zone accusing the government of a tardy and inadequate relief effort. They cracked infrastructure and flattened thousands of buildings, causing hardship for millions and leaving many homeless in bitterly cold weather. Kemal Kilicdaroglu, leader of the main opposition party, had earlier in the week said the disaster was a time for unity, not criticism. Speaking in Kahramanmaras, near the epicentre of the earthquake, Erdogan said: "We had some problems in airports and roads but we are better today". Selim Temurci, spokesman for the opposition Future Party, said AFAD's efforts were insufficient due to personnel shortages and the vast expanse of destruction.

[1/9] Rescuers work at the site of a damaged building in the aftermath of a deadly earthquake in Kahramanmaras, Turkey, February 8, 2023. said Melek, 64, in the southern city of Antakya, adding that she had not seen any rescue teams. With the scale of the disaster becoming ever more apparent, the death toll - now 6,234 in Turkey - looks likely to keep on rising. In neighbouring Syria, already devastated by 11 years of war, the death toll climbed to more than 2,500 overnight, according to the Syrian government and a rescue service operating in the rebel-held northwest. The initial quake struck just after 4 a.m. on Monday, the dead of night in the dead of winter, giving the sleeping population little chance to react.

Jan 16 (Reuters) - Oil prices slipped on Monday but were holding near their highest levels this month as easing COVID restrictions in China raised hopes of a demand recovery in the world's top crude importer. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was down $1.01, or 1.3%, at $78.85 in thin trade on a U.S. public holiday. "The narrative that Chinese growth is going to add to demand is playing a very large part here. Traffic levels in China are rebounding from record lows after the easing of COVID-19 restrictions, resulting in stronger demand for crude and oil products, ANZ analysts said in a note. The United Arab Emirates' energy minister, Suhail al-Mazrouei, said on Monday that oil markets were balanced.

☆ Oil muted as price cap proposal eases supply concerns
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-24 | by ( Nia Williams | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

A bigger-than-expected build in U.S. gasoline inventories and widening COVID-19 controls in China also added downward pressure on crude prices. Both benchmarks plunged more than 3% on Wednesday on news the planned price cap on Russian oil could be above the current market level. European Union governments remained split over what level to cap Russian oil prices at to curb Moscow's ability to pay for its war in Ukraine without causing a global oil supply shock, with more talks possible on Friday if positions converge. A higher price cap could make it attractive for Russia to continue to sell its oil, reducing the risk of a supply shortage in global oil markets. Oil prices also came under pressure after the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday that U.S. gasoline and distillate inventories rose substantially last week.

☆ Is it time to buy gold? Wall Street pros weigh in as prices fall
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-11 | by ( Zavier Ong | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

The precious metal has come under pressure this year, with the dollar's big gain weighing on gold prices. I think inflation is going to win. Higher real rates imply a higher cost of carry for gold, due to increased competition from higher-yielding investments. "They are something you keep in your portfolio, because when you need them, they work and that's the history of gold and gold equities. He added that he continues to see a "very strong" market for gold and gold equities over the longer-term.

☆ Melek: Crude is likely to meet some resistance around the $90/barrel level
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMelek: Crude is likely to meet some resistance around the $90/barrel levelBart Melek, global head of commodity strategy at TD Securities, says if OPEC+ comes through with a meaningful cut to output when it meets next week, that could provide a major catalyst to oil prices.

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